- Just yesterday, Harris was ahead of Trump in 4 of 7 swing states in most polls
- Morning Consult, Marist, and the Washington Post were talking about 50%-48%, 48%-47%, and 49%-48% margins, respectively
- However, Atlas National Polls showed Trump ahead of Harris in all 7 states
- A fresh poll says a very significant margin of 1 to 6.5 points
Just yesterday, Kamala Harris was leading in four of the seven swing states, but today, we are seeing a significant turnaround, with Donald Trump now ahead of her in every case.
At least that’s what Atlas National Polls reports, showing notable leads ranging from 1 to 3.5 and even up to 6.5 points in some swing states.
More About the Momentum in Swing States
We’re days away from the election, and as recently as yesterday you could tell that Kamala Harris is in a more confident position, leading in the polls in 4 states out of 7.
At least that’s what the Morning Consult, Marist, and Washington Post polling data said, with Harris and Trump ahead 50%-48%, 48%-47%, and 49%-48%, respectively.
However, now we see Atlas National Polls saying that Trump has pulled out very noticeably. Namely:
- North Carolina. Harris vs Trump 47.1% vs 50.5% respectively, with +3.4
- Georgia. Harris vs. Trump 47.6% vs 50.1% respectively, with +2.5
- Arizona. Harris vs. Trump 45.8% vs 52.3% respectively, with +6.5
- Nevada. Harris vs. Trump 46% vs 51.5% respectively, with +5.5
- Wisconsin. Harris vs. Trump 48.6% vs 49.6% respectively, with +1
- Michigan. Harris vs. Trump 48.2% vs 49.7% respectively, with +1.5
- Pennsylvania. Harris vs. Trump 47.8% vs 49.6% respectively, with +1.8
It’s worth noting that there remains a significant percentage of undecideds, which in such a close race can play a key role. Also, the most reputable polls upfront indicate a significant margin of error, for example, the New York Times notes a possible margin of error of 3.5 to 4.7 points, which could also play a key role.
Conclusion
Of course, it should be taken into account that events that can dramatically affect the outcome of the election can take minutes, while the election is still a few days away, and even more so afterward.
Especially if you keep in mind that in this case everything can be played by fractions of a percent playing for one or another candidate. Stay tuned.
